Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.002362 0.002498 0.002643 0.002810 0.002997 0.003203 0.003447
2025-04-13 0.002135 0.002318 0.002523 0.002773 0.003073 0.003429 0.003893
2025-04-20 0.001914 0.002110 0.002337 0.002624 0.002984 0.003435 0.004063
2025-04-27 0.001815 0.002030 0.002286 0.002621 0.003062 0.003645 0.004522
2025-05-04 0.001765 0.002002 0.002291 0.002683 0.003223 0.003983 0.005231
2025-05-11 0.001698 0.001945 0.002253 0.002681 0.003293 0.004197 0.005804
2025-05-18 0.001670 0.001934 0.002270 0.002754 0.003473 0.004605 0.006834
2025-05-25 0.001613 0.001881 0.002228 0.002736 0.003515 0.004796 0.007529
2025-06-01 0.001551 0.001818 0.002168 0.002687 0.003502 0.004888 0.008051
2025-06-08 0.001531 0.001808 0.002178 0.002741 0.003657 0.005309 0.009566
2025-06-15 0.001506 0.001791 0.002176 0.002775 0.003781 0.005700 0.011313
2025-06-22 0.001463 0.001746 0.002134 0.002743 0.003787 0.005852 0.012450
2025-06-29 0.001406 0.001684 0.002065 0.002670 0.003721 0.005852 0.013150
2025-07-06 0.001366 0.001642 0.002024 0.002638 0.003728 0.006025 0.014813
2025-07-13 0.001298 0.001560 0.001922 0.002503 0.003532 0.005689 0.013832
2025-07-20 0.001273 0.001536 0.001903 0.002501 0.003584 0.005962 0.016301
2025-07-27 0.001265 0.001536 0.001920 0.002558 0.003757 0.006588 0.022781
2025-08-03 0.001242 0.001513 0.001902 0.002556 0.003813 0.006924 0.029121
2025-08-10 0.001237 0.001517 0.001923 0.002622 0.004018 0.007787 0.054669
2025-08-17 0.001213 0.001492 0.001899 0.002606 0.004045 0.008101 0.085353
2025-08-24 0.001184 0.001458 0.001860 0.002562 0.004004 0.008171 0.119304
2025-08-31 0.001177 0.001457 0.001873 0.002611 0.004183 0.009136 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001167 0.001451 0.001875 0.002642 0.004323 0.010068 NaN